Treasure Chest RYC/Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, January 5, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASAKI Alex 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
2 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
3 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 TAGUINOD Aidan Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
5 PERERA Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
6 ORLINO Samuel 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
7 LO Shih-Hsuan Elroy 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
8 GOTTSCHALK Theodore 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
9 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
10 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
11 LIU Paul 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
12 WANG James 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
13 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
14 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
15 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 96% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
16 HIROTA Jackson 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
17 LI Sky 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
18 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
19 BOSSOW Grant 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% - -
20 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
21 BELHE Hridhaan 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
22 CAO Chong 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
23 HIROTA Mitchell 100% 65% 19% 2% - -
24 XIE Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
25 CHANG William 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
26 NGUYEN Drake 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
27 BODO John 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
28 KIM ZOLLER Jacob 100% 95% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
29 WIEGMANN Liev 100% 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
30 MARROQUIN Colt 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
31 MAHAPATRA Rohan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
32 DOUGLAS Milo 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
33 LE BRIAN 100% 99% 78% 35% 7% -
34 CHEW Marcus 100% 33% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.