Bloody Winter Wonderland at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
2 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
3 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
3 TRAN John 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
5 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
6 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
7 METZ Evan 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1%
8 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 99% 76% 33% 6% -
9 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
10 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
11 KRIEGER Nathanial 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
12 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
13 GUSKA Jenn 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
14 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
15 MAI Carl D. 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
16 PICKREL Maxwell 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
17 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
18 MCNARY Ross 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
19 SCHNEIDER Bradley 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
20 APANASEWICZ Dan 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
21 PETTIJOHN Luke 100% 96% 67% 24% 4% - -
22 CRAFT David M. 100% 96% 63% 22% 3% - -
23 INGRIM Adellia 100% 28% 3% - - -
24 MUDD Dakota 100% 97% 69% 25% 3% -
25 ABUSUNDUS Ahmed 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
25 SCHNEIDER Stephanie 100% 62% 16% 2% - - -
27 DURR Anna 100% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.