Premier Challenge RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, September 7, 2019 at 2:30 PM

Manalapan, NJ - Manalapan, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KUZNETSOV Victoria	-	-	4%	20%	42%	34%
2	LONG Cindy	-	-	-	5%	41%	53%
3	CHAN Elizabeth	-	2%	10%	30%	39%	18%
3	MAO Amy	3%	16%	34%	32%	14%	2%
5	DROVETSKY Alexandra M.	-	-	-	3%	19%	45%	33%
6	MING Cynthia	3%	18%	39%	31%	8%	1%	-
7	KOWALSKY Rachel A.	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	28%
8	TOLBA Salma	-	2%	11%	32%	38%	17%
9	PARTE Isabella B.	1%	9%	30%	38%	19%	3%
10	PAN Michelle	1%	10%	31%	37%	18%	3%
11	COBERT Helen G.	-	-	5%	29%	47%	19%
12	LIN Julia L.	-	4%	21%	41%	28%	6%
13	REID Anousheh	-	2%	11%	32%	39%	16%
14	CHANG Ella	7%	29%	38%	21%	5%	-
15	FALLON Kyle R.	-	1%	6%	26%	42%	22%	4%
16	BONAR Natalia	36%	42%	18%	4%	-	-
17	CORDERO Allison	6%	35%	39%	16%	3%	-
18	BELSLEY Devon K.	-	4%	20%	37%	30%	9%
19	SINGH Aayushi	29%	46%	21%	3%	-	-
20	LU Junyao	-	-	-	5%	25%	46%	23%
21	GAJJALA Sharika R.	-	4%	18%	37%	32%	10%
22	LI Alisha	1%	9%	36%	46%	9%	-
23	XU Amy	2%	16%	35%	32%	13%	2%
24	SLACKMAN Valerie	1%	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
25	ZENG Katrina	8%	32%	37%	18%	4%	-
26	HONG Elaine	1%	10%	32%	37%	17%	3%	-
27	DE JAGER Celine	1%	10%	29%	36%	19%	3%
28	LEE Olive	1%	8%	24%	36%	25%	6%
29	GUZZI Jordan	51%	38%	10%	1%	-	-
30	WELLS Emily	14%	40%	34%	11%	2%	-
31	LEE Anna	11%	39%	37%	12%	1%	-
32	ZAKHAROV Anne E.	9%	37%	36%	15%	3%	-
33	XU Jessica	16%	41%	32%	10%	1%	-	-
34	PAN Iris	38%	44%	16%	2%	-	-	-
35	MA Annie	10%	34%	38%	16%	2%	-
36	HILLYER Megan	14%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
37	GOGINENI Gamana	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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