Junior Olympics

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
2 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
3 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
5 HSU Leah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
6 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
7 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
8 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 29%
9 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
10 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
11 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
12 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
13 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
14 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
15 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
16 PARK Geraldyn Sojung 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
17 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
18 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
19 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
20 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
21 NG Sophia 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% 1%
22 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
23 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
24 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
25 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
26 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
27 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
28 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
28 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
30 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
31 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
32 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
33 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1%
34 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
35 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
36 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
37 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
38 LAI Karen 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
39 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
40 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
41 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
42 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 28%
43 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
44 BAIK Sarah 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
45 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
46 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
47 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 99% 87% 58% 22% 3%
47 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
49 YU Stella 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
50 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
51 KO Ariel 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
51 REN Katherine 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
53 FERRIS Madeline 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
54 BORTAI Eliza 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
55 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
56 SINGER Ellery 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
57 PARK Chloe 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
58 KU Chloe 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
59 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
60 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
61 OCA Merci 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 5%
62 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
63 LOPEZ Sophia 100% 22% 2% - - - -
64 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 15% 2%
65 KWON Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
66 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
67 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
68 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
69 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
70 NING Lynn 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
71 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
72 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 25%
73 DUFF Caitlin 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
74 KIM Satie 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
75 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
76 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
77 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
78 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 95% 64% 23% 3% -
79 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
80 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 10%
81 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
82 HUANG Neila 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
82 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
84 LUKER Hannah 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
84 XU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
86 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
87 YU Skylar 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
88 OEI Allyson 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
89 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
90 SUN Angela 100% 98% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
91 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
91 NGUYEN Summer 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
93 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
93 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
95 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 16% 2%
96 FANG Darcy 100% 69% 25% 4% < 1% - -
97 TOPALOV Julia 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
98 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
99 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
100 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15% 1%
100 KIRBY Skye 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
102 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
103 KIM Alexia 100% 99% 83% 38% 9% 1% -
104 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 6%
105 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
105 LEE Grace 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
107 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
108 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
109 CHERON Helene 100% 99% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
110 MOON Claire 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
111 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
112 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
113 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
114 ILAGAN Ava 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
115 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
116 ROBBINS Adele 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
117 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
118 YANG Caroline 100% 98% 80% 40% 8% 1%
119 SHMULER Fiona 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 4%
120 PATIL Jyothi 100% 66% 23% 3% - -
121 YE Madeleine 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
122 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
123 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
125 NANDA Maanika 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3% -
126 DOXAN Sarah 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
127 KANG Soeun 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
128 WONG Cerise 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
129 WONG Charlene 100% 96% 73% 32% 5% -
130 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
131 PARK Haylie 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
131 HSIEH Lucia 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
133 LIN Annika 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
133 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
135 ERPELDING Emily 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
136 DOLEV Rony 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
137 ZHANG Ashley 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
138 FANG Elena 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
139 JUNG Sienna 100% 88% 49% 14% 2% - -
140 LIM Eunice 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% - -
141 VATS Ishita 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
142 BRIMMER Bella 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
143 KWON Ava 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
144 HEATH Isabella 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
145 LIU Hannah 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
146 LAFFY Lily 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
147 WILFRET Katerina 100% 65% 21% 4% - - -
148 CAI Veronica 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
149 TASSONE Charlie 100% 82% 40% 11% 2% - -
150 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
150 OH Chloe 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% - -
152 KIM Grace 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
153 KAYA Lara 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
154 JOSHI Samika 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
155 BARNES Sarah 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
156 KIM Grace 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
157 MING Emma 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% - -
157 EDUSA Leilani 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
159 BUSSELL Ava 100% 96% 48% 10% 1% - -
160 BREDBECK Margaret 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
161 LU Angela 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
162 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
163 KAZA Ananya 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
164 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
165 ZONG Eliane 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
166 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
166 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
168 KATZ Emma 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
169 UZAR Julianna 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
170 JOHN Sophia 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1% -
171 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
172 LEE Kaitlin 100% 98% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
172 VANNIER Anouk 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
174 KONZEN Iris 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
175 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
175 FINN Lucy 100% 95% 52% 15% 2% - -
177 KIM Grace M. 100% 95% 57% 19% 3% - -
178 HILD Anya 100% 97% 74% 32% 6% -
178 BABB Virginia 100% 73% 23% 4% - - -
180 JACHYMIAK Emilia 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5% -
181 HERNANDEZ Izzy 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
182 WELCH Greta 100% 24% 2% - - - -
183 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
184 CHIU Philippa 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
185 CHEN Elina 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
186 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
187 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
188 MEFFORD Isadora 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
189 WANG Emily 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
190 ROOPRAI Amarjot 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
190 CROMPTON Nilah 100% 58% 13% 1% - - -
192 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
193 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
194 ENNIS Charlotte 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
195 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
196 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
196 DUSHAS Mariana 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
198 POWERS Waverly 100% 91% 53% 16% 2% - -
199 PATEL Sia 100% 16% 1% - - - -
200 ZHANG Emily 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
200 LAU Teagan 100% 22% 2% - - - -
202 RIGGS Maren 100% 14% - - - - -
202 KAZA Aditi 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
204 PANCHAL Arya 100% 65% 21% 4% - - -
205 XIONG Grace 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
206 VALENCIA Sophie 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.