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Event Results

Unrated Y-12 Men's Saber

The Polar Bear Cup - Long Island Fencers' ClubSurprise Map

Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM Emanuel Lutheran Church · Patchogue, NY, USA
6 finishers
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 CHUNG Leo V V V V V V V 4.2 5 +0.8
2 WONG Myles V D V D V V D 1.1 3 +1.9
3 KIM Landon D V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
3 WALSH Harrison D V V D D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
5 SERRAINO Ryan V D D V D D 3.5 2 -1.5
6 DALY Ryan D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%