Junior Olympics

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, January 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
3 WANG Nicolas - - - - 5% 28% 67%
3 NG Jonathan - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
5 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
6 SU Landon - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
7 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - - 2% 26% 72%
8 REN James - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
9 VAID Luke - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
10 JOO Jeein - - - 2% 15% 44% 40%
11 WEI Rian - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
12 KWALWASSER Eric - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
13 BERRIO Carter E. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
14 YAN William - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
15 LI Ayden - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
16 GUFFEY Christopher - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
17 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
18 TSE Aiden J - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
19 QIU Nathan - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
20 LIN Maxim - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
21 OH Triton - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
22 CHON Collin - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
23 KIM Kendrick - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
24 ERMAKOV Semeon - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
24 KIM ELIJAH - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
26 CHAMBERS Miles - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
27 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - - - 4% 19% 45% 32%
28 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
29 LEE Noah - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
30 KUSHKOV Daniel - - - 4% 25% 49% 23%
31 MEYERSON Jacob - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
32 PI Alexander - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
33 FENG Leo - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
34 MICLAUS Justin - - - - 6% 31% 63%
34 PRIMUS Nazir - - - - 6% 33% 61%
36 IM Tyler - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
37 POFF Kainoa - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
38 SHOMAN Noah - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
39 IYER Neil - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 1%
40 CHUNG Connor - - 1% 9% 30% 43% 16%
41 YANG Phillip - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 12%
42 KATZ Ryan - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
43 YOOK Isaac - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
43 PAVLENISHVILI Luke - 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
45 BAE Jason I. - - - - 5% 33% 61%
46 YANG Dylan - 1% 12% 39% 38% 10%
47 PATEL Rayn - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
48 PAN Alex - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
49 LUHAN Zachary - - 1% 8% 33% 43% 15%
50 CRICOL Damian - 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 4%
51 LIU Kevin - - 1% 6% 24% 46% 24%
52 SO Preston - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
53 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
54 HJERPE Wade H. - - - - 6% 32% 61%
55 KIM Shaun M. - - - 2% 21% 77%
56 HUBLALL Ethan - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
57 GONG Jerry - - 2% 16% 39% 36% 7%
58 ZHANG Kaixuan - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
59 DECK Tyson - 1% 8% 27% 40% 21% 3%
60 ZHOU William - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
61 CHOW William T. - - 4% 23% 45% 24% 4%
62 CRAWFORD William 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
63 KIM Ethan - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
64 DAI Zihou 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
65 ANAND Rohan 1% 8% 28% 40% 22% 2%
66 HOLZ Lucas - - 1% 12% 36% 41% 10%
67 CAO Donald 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4%
68 LIN Philip T. - - 5% 25% 43% 24% 3%
69 GREMILLION Obadiah - - 1% 11% 35% 43% 10%
70 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - - 1% 13% 44% 41%
70 JI Johnson - 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
72 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
73 SANCHEZ Jacob - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
74 ATWOOD Griffin - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
75 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 5%
76 ZHAO Royce - 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
77 KANG Matthew - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
78 YE Eric - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
79 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
80 NARDINI Nathanael P. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
81 WANG Samuel - - 1% 9% 33% 47% 9%
82 LEE Brian - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
83 ANAND Rishab - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
84 LUC Cedric - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
85 LI Yidong A. - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 3%
86 GONZALEZ Jake - - 1% 6% 28% 48% 17%
87 LIU Victor - 1% 8% 29% 41% 18% 2%
88 WONG Max - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
89 LUCAS William - 1% 13% 43% 33% 9% 1%
90 HALL Noah 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
91 ZENG Vito 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
92 KOZLOFF Wyatt 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3% -
93 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
94 PORTER Dupree 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
94 DREYER William 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
96 BOULAIS Andrew D. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
97 BURKE Sam - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
98 GU Kevin 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
99 GERSTMANN Max T. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
100 LEE Andrew 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
101 MEHAN Nicholas - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
102 ZHANG Shaoxuan 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
103 MEADE Liam R. 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
104 MCDONALD Finn 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
105 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
106 SHANKWILER Christopher - 1% 13% 40% 37% 9%
107 CAO Oliver - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
108 KANG Evan R. - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
109 KILARI Krish - - 2% 12% 36% 40% 11%
109 KHANNA Adamantis - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
111 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
112 RAMANAN Govind - - 2% 18% 43% 31% 6%
113 BIVIJI Ali - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 6%
114 FIROOZI Sam 2% 23% 45% 25% 5% - -
115 CIEMINS Henry - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
116 PARCELL Colby 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1% -
117 WONG Mac 1% 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
118 KITSON Chase - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
119 CHEN Jonathan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
119 SAGE Sebastian - 3% 20% 40% 30% 7% -
121 BAHK Caleb 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
122 AGARWAAL Yohan 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
123 LAZARTE Gabriel 3% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
124 CRAIN Bennett 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
125 WONG Lucas - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
126 CHAN Henry - 4% 24% 41% 25% 5% -
126 GREENSTEIN Viktor - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
128 FOX Gavin - 2% 16% 39% 34% 9% 1%
129 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 5%
130 SADHU Neiyam - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
131 HU Chris - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
132 COBIAN Richard 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
133 HO Anson - 6% 28% 43% 19% 3% -
134 TAO Jeffrey - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
135 LAUB William - 1% 6% 25% 42% 23% 4%
137 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
138 LIU Aaron - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
139 SALDARINI Glenn - 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
140 RAMANAN Jaisimh - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
140 SRIVATS Vedh 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
140 WANG Tiger - 2% 17% 41% 31% 8% 1%
143 BARENBOYM Michael 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
144 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
144 TANI Tino - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
146 KANG Evan - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
146 LIU Andrew 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
148 HENRY Cadel 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
149 KOTVALI Aneesh 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
150 KARAVAS Nicholas 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
151 FENG Brendan - 2% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
152 LEE Nathan Uju 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 2% -
153 SU Kingston 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
154 HUANG Alex F. - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
155 CLARK Aram - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
155 WONG Reagan 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
157 WANG Daniel - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
158 BAI Evan - 4% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
158 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 2% 18% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
158 WANG Max - 1% 10% 33% 39% 16% 2%
161 TSAO Alister 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
161 HELD Lev 3% 47% 38% 11% 1% - -
163 TSAO Oliver 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
164 SUBA Lucas - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
165 BREUER Daniel 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
166 WONG Ron 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
167 TAN Ryan 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3% -
167 CHEN Shawn 5% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
167 LEE Brandon 11% 36% 37% 13% 2% - -
170 GONG Gavin 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
170 AYDOGDU Hakan - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
170 STURGEON Cole - 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1%
173 BUKZIN Alan 6% 35% 38% 17% 3% - -
174 VEDRE Neil 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
175 MACK Justin 19% 54% 23% 4% - - -
176 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
177 MATTOO Dhruv 4% 28% 44% 21% 3% - -
178 WANG Justin - 1% 8% 26% 39% 24% 2%
179 MANESCU Miron - 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
180 KETT Richard 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
180 WANG HongXi 4% 26% 40% 24% 5% - -
182 SUN Eon 23% 49% 23% 4% - - -
183 MORRISSEY Joseph 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
184 ZWAKA Jonas - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
185 QIN toby 21% 44% 28% 6% 1% -
186 LIU ERIC 1% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
187 YADAV Lakshya - 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
188 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 4% 20% 43% 28% 5%
189 SANGSTER Arden - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
189 SUN Ryan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
191 LIU Ryan 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
192 SWIFT Owen 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
193 MENDOZA Christian - 3% 20% 41% 29% 7% -
194 LEE Brady 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% -
194 DUMOULIN Gabriel 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
194 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan - 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% -
197 BALU Aedan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
198 XIAO Brayden 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
198 PAK Andrew 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
198 WANG Theodore 3% 31% 45% 18% 3% -
201 WAXLER Ryan - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
201 DOMINIQUE Remson - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
201 LIN Felix 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
204 BOSITA Brennan 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
204 SUNG Julian 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
206 OH Aster - 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
206 FANG Eason 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
208 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 4% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
209 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 44% 43% 12% 1% - - -
210 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
211 UEMOTO Ken - 2% 11% 34% 37% 14% 1%
211 RAMANI Ari 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
213 LIM Brandon 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
214 PARKILA Lukas - 7% 34% 40% 16% 2% -
214 JIANG Terence 7% 37% 40% 14% 2% - -
216 SAYAR Luke 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
216 VOSPER James 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
216 KHOTLINE Daniel 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
219 KU Collin 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
220 LIU Guanyu 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
221 COGLIANO Max 16% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
222 KIM Enoch 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
223 ZHANG Ray 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
223 BURGESS Beckham 1% 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
225 CHAN Elliott 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
226 VISH Manyu 28% 44% 23% 4% - - -
227 TURNER Benjamin 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
227 TOSCANO Sebastian 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
229 KULKARNI Shreyas 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
230 BEVANS Auden 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
231 STRUCKER Rocco 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
232 RINALDI Savio - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
233 YU Casey 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
234 ROH Jaden 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
235 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
236 GORDON Samuel 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
237 LIEBISCH Milo 70% 26% 4% - - -
238 EYSTER Edison 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
239 MILLER Charlie 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
240 WONG Caleb W. 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
241 GUVEN Derin 5% 41% 40% 12% 1% - -
242 GUREWICH Benjamin 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
242 RODRIGUEZ Erik - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
242 MINASIAN Mason 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
242 CHI Everett 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
246 NAYAK Surin K. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
247 COUNTS Nicholas 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
248 HO Nathaniel 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
248 MOON Noah 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
250 ZHANG Lucas 11% 39% 35% 12% 2% - -
251 SONG Aidan 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
251 REHM Liam 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
253 KANE Kiran 10% 40% 40% 9% 1% - -
253 MBERIA Alexander 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
255 RAJMOHAN Arya 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
256 KANIA Alexander 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
256 JIN Yubo 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
258 WOSTER Matthew (Mateo) 33% 49% 16% 2% - - -
259 DOLEV Ido 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
260 LOO Jason 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
260 HOLMES Xavier 31% 45% 20% 3% - - -
260 BODMER Erik 59% 35% 5% - - - -
260 MILLS Pearson 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
264 COPP Max 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
264 FERRIS JR. Michael 4% 36% 43% 14% 2% -
266 SRIVATSAV Anay 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
266 ELLIS Bremmen 47% 40% 11% 1% - - -
268 KAUFFMAN Davian 34% 43% 19% 3% - - -
269 JAMBUSARIA Aum 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
270 ZALEVSKY Liam 14% 39% 34% 11% 1% - -
270 MCGAFFEY Rowan 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
272 KEMP Austin 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
273 JENSBY Jason 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
274 WANG Ryan 40% 47% 12% 1% - - -
275 DESAUTELS Connor 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
275 NAGRANI Jai 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
277 BENSON Jacob 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
278 KATZ Nico 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
279 BROWN Andrew 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
279 ELSAYED Yahia 62% 32% 6% - - - -
281 HAUSLER Jayden 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
282 SUBA Mason 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
283 BRAMLETT Myer 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
283 YAO Zachary 14% 45% 34% 6% - - -
283 KULKARNI Ishir 76% 22% 2% - - - -
286 PARK Gavin 7% 34% 38% 17% 3% - -
286 BOWLES Caden 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
286 PADANILAM Thomas 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
289 WEBB Kian 77% 21% 2% - - -
289 STOFIEL Noah 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
291 HOWARD Jolon 46% 44% 10% 1% - - -
292 BESSELMAN Noah 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
292 KAMAL Aidan 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
292 SOTTA Devon 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
295 XIA Daniel 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
295 KHOSLA Shya 91% 9% - - - - -
297 ELLER Jeremiah 62% 32% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.