Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUI Jessie - - 2% 19% 49% 30%
2 ZHOU Joi - - - 1% 11% 41% 46%
3 VILLARAMA Kara - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
3 JIN Jada Y - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 7%
5 HSU Rachel - 1% 15% 43% 35% 6%
6 FANG Kelervia - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
7 WU Chingfei Amber - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
8 YAO Abby - - 1% 13% 47% 39%
9 KIM Sydney - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
10 NEUMANN Erika - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
11 XIE Su - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
12 ZHANG Queeny 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
13 KENSICKI Phoebe - - 2% 18% 49% 30%
14 THERON Zoe - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
15 WILLIAMSON Tessa - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
16 ZHANG Viviana - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
17 LEVESQUE Brielle - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
18 YU Sophie - - 1% 9% 31% 44% 15%
19 MIYOSHI Kylie 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
20 AHN Hayley 1% 12% 34% 37% 14% 2%
21 HAYLETT Emily 1% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
22 ZEE Savannah - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
23 HAN Gian - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
24 CHANG Olivia - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
25 ARYA Leela 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
26 GOWDA Siyona 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
27 LIM Kensie - 5% 23% 39% 27% 5%
28 ZONG Melody - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
29 LI Chelsea - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
30 DVOIRIS Maya 8% 32% 38% 19% 4% -
31 WANG Doreen 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
32 KIM Lauren 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1%
33 CHUNG Katie - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
34 YANG Hanli - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
35 VOROBIEV Alexandra 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
36 PARK Lauren - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
37 DENG Claire - 3% 20% 42% 30% 5%
38 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 1% 13% 43% 35% 8% -
39 SANTIAGO Rania 22% 54% 21% 3% - -
40 LUCAS Ava 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
41 JONES Olivia - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
42 CHEN Madeleine 2% 21% 44% 27% 6% -
43 DEJOY Leilah 20% 43% 30% 7% 1% -
44 KIM Ines 9% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
45 ZHANG Katie Q. 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
46 BHANGOO Paloma 1% 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
47 TEWARI Amaira 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
48 RENGANATHAN Krithiga 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
49 CHOI Sophie - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
50 YANG Byanca 26% 44% 25% 5% - - -
51 LI Sophia 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
52 TAN Shouyin 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
53 IRELAND Moira 27% 49% 21% 3% - -
54 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
55 LEE Abigail - 6% 33% 45% 15% 1%
56 LAM Dorris Yandor 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
57 FENG Sophia 61% 34% 5% - - -
58 ZHANG Hannah - 1% 8% 29% 41% 18% 2%
59 GUTIERREZ Gia 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
60 YU Xintong 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
61 YUEN Kaitlyn 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
62 MONAT Jennifer - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
63 WANG Ellen 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
64 BENNYHOFF Naia 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
65 GUTIERREZ Yuliana 3% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
66 TAI Taphanie 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
66 CHO Rylee 53% 40% 7% - - -
68 PARK Amelie 11% 42% 36% 11% 1% -
69 LING Camryn 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
70 KIM Isabella 1% 25% 45% 25% 3% -
71 BROWN Favianna 72% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.