Sword in the Cake

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 EDWARDS Connor - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 KOLACKI Gabriel 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
3 THEKKEL Jonathan 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
3 DRIVER Atticus - 7% 33% 50% 10%
5 STEMLER Tyler 1% 12% 44% 35% 8%
6 MORGAN Jacob 13% 58% 26% 3% -
7 AWAD Rhys 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
8 BAKKE Alexander - 2% 14% 36% 38% 10%
9 VANDEVEN Ingrid 36% 42% 18% 3% -
10 CLARK Brandon < 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
11 BRIGHAM Cullen 1% 16% 42% 34% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.