Sword in the Cake

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 ZUIDEMA Harrison 2% 16% 41% 33% 8%
2 HEWITT Madison - 5% 23% 43% 28%
3 GANOCY Sloane 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
3 TAN Kaiwen 2% 16% 38% 35% 9%
5 YANKAH kofi 2% 15% 45% 38% 1%
6 TALUSAN Otis - - 5% 36% 59%
7 JUSTICE Tim 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
8 JUSTICE Cary 36% 44% 17% 2% -
9 SITERLET Ayden 23% 49% 24% 4% -
9 GREGORICKA Madeline 19% 40% 31% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.