Bill Goering Colorado Cup #3 + Vet #2 Walk N' Roll

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEISS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 22%
2 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 67%
3 SUN Evan 100% 100% 95% 62% 16% 1% -
3 RUDOW Asher 100% 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% -
5 SCHMIDT Leonard 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
6 DARRICAU OLY Henri J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
7 VALENCIA Anthony N. 100% 100% 97% 80% 35% 4%
8 MINN Nathan 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2% -
9 COLLINS Payton 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
10 JOHANSON Robert 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 12% 1%
11 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
12 ZHANG Tianyi 100% 100% 89% 57% 19% 2%
13 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
14 DRESSER Langdon 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1% -
15 NGUYEN Maddox 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
16 TAMAYO Elijah 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
17 CLAYBORN II Marvin 100% 100% 97% 76% 34% 5%
18 MANDRIOLI Max 100% 77% 31% 5% - -
19 JOHANSON David B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 34%
20 DENNY Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 4%
21 STOY Patrick 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
22 ANDERSON Donald 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% - -
23 MESSENGER Niko 100% 92% 33% 5% - - -
24 AGUIRRE Mark 100% 63% 14% 1% - -
25 KIM Aiden 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
26 SHIPMAN Danika 100% 29% 3% - - - -
27 MCKITRICK Cooper 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.