Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 LI Savannah 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
3 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 GONG Hai 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
5 LIU Qianchen E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
7 WATSON Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
8 MA Sophia 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
9 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
10 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
11 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
12 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
13 LI Junhan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
14 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
15 HO Peyton 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
16 FENG Claire 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
17 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
18 TELEB Farida 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
19 FEDER Acadia 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
20 RIVERA Leahy 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
21 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
22 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
24 KUANG Bella 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
25 PHAN Logan 100% 99% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
26 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 44% 11%
27 DUVVA Sanika 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
28 NWODO Naila 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
29 BO Iris 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
30 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
31 ZHU Audrey 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% -
31 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
33 DONG Iris 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
34 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
35 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
36 GE Deanna 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
37 LEO Jenna 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 9% 1%
38 JIANG Ziqing 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
39 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
40 KASHUBA Mila 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
41 LIU Caydence 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
42 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
43 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
44 BRADSHAW Tamira 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
45 CHO Olivia 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 27% 4%
46 REILLY Carys 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
47 GOITIA Genevieve 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
48 LIU Bella 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
49 YOUM Amelia 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
50 ZHU Alivia 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
51 LUO lucy 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
52 PECK Madeleine 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
53 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
54 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
55 IWERSEN Marte 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
56 BERTOLINI Mia 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
57 BELL Blake 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
57 WEN Cynthia 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
59 DINAR Julia 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
60 STEWART Isla 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
61 MALIK Manha 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
62 MEITZEN Havah 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
63 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
64 FAN Melody 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
65 CHOI Cara 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
66 JAIN Dia 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
67 HOU Xu 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
68 SHUI Zola 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
69 CHUNG Stella 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
70 JOSEPH Hannah 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
71 WU Charlotte 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
72 SONG Sarah 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
73 DONG Katelyn 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1% -
74 SINGH Evangelina 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
75 KRISHNAN Maya 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
76 IRIZARRY Nyla 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
77 BERGMANN Beatrix 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
78 LIU Joanna 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
78 KIM Lael 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
80 SOMAN Indraa 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
81 BROWN Katelyn 100% 60% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.