Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-8 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARSAR Cleo 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
2 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
3 KIM Eila 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% < 1%
3 BURROWS Ella 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
5 SHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
6 YINGLING June 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
7 CHENG Liliana 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
8 LI Kerry 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38% 3%
9 DESIDERIO Livia 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
10 GOFMAN Vlada 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
11 SIU Madeline 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 5%
12 SONG Esther W 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% - -
13 CAO Ada 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
13 SAAD Emmalyn 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
15 ABDELFATAH Laila 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
16 ASONI Valentina 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
17 HONG Athena 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 23%
18 GAO Jessica 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
19 CHONG Ashley 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
20 GROMOVA Eva 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
21 PEI Blaire 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
22 VAZIRANI Zara 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
23 PI Sherry 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
24 IVANOV Amelie 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
25 SIDOROV Mila 100% 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
26 SCHILDGE Maple E 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
27 PENG Charlotte 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
28 SHABBIR Ziya 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.