Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 TROXEL Sylvie A. - - 1% 5% 19% 38% 30% 7%
2 CASTANEDA Keira - - - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9%
3 HAN Mia 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
3 LIGERET Stella 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% - -
5 SCHULTZ Sumi 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% - -
6 WU Elynna 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% - -
7 LIPPAI Sarah 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1% -
8 GRANHOLM Carolyn N. - < 1% - - 3% 18% 42% 36%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.