Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAO Donald 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
2 SHURYGIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
3 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 LIAO Yifong 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
5 MILLER Charlie 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
6 LOPER Alex 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
7 VO Blake 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
8 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 23%
9 RICH Augustus (Gus) G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 64%
10 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 100% 91% 54% 16% 2% -
11 FERRIS JR. Michael 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
12 JOHNSON Jack 100% 89% 48% 11% 1% -
13 SULLIVAN Gerard 100% 98% 77% 33% 4% -
14 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
15 ENGLE Aidric 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 1% -
16 DOLEV Ido 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7% -
17 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% - -
18 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% - -
19 HONG Hunter 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
20 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 100% 93% 69% 29% 4%
21 CRETEN Joachim 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% -
22 NEARMAN Christopher 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
23 MA Yanjie 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 2%
24 COPPA Neal 100% 98% 81% 38% 5% -
25 RASHELL Simon 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
26 MCCLURE Logan 100% 94% 73% 38% 12% 2%
27 VACCA Giovanni 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
28 WILCOX Kellen 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
29 XIA Daniel 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
30 MORRIS Gray 100% 37% 5% - - - -
31 TING Alexander 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
32 LEE Andrew 100% 83% 26% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.