Midwinter Melee

Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Middlebury Union Middle School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael - 3% 22% 49% 26%
2 MCENTEE Owen - - 7% 39% 48% 5%
3 KISIEL Lucas 1% 12% 40% 40% 8% -
3 TANG Jeremy - 1% 8% 34% 52% 6%
5 LIN George - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
6 WOOD Lukas - - 1% 11% 49% 39%
7 COFFIN Carleton - 1% 9% 45% 46%
8 ANNEAR Phillip 44% 45% 10% 1% -
9 KROHN Daphne 16% 44% 31% 8% 1% -
10 CHEUNG Erika 1% 15% 39% 35% 9% -
11 CHEUNG Miranda 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
12 OMALLEY michael 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
13 PEDEN Evelyn 2% 27% 57% 14% 1%
14 MAZUR Chris 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
15 BENT Asher 22% 46% 26% 5% -
16 MUMLEY Logan 1% 10% 30% 39% 18% 2%
17 BENT Erin 2% 26% 60% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.