Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAIFEE Zahra - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
2 PARK Lauren - - - - 1% 18% 80%
3 ZHU Claire - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15% 1%
3 CHENG Audrey - - 1% 11% 45% 44%
5 ZHANG Hannah - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
6 FU Joy - - 7% 30% 44% 18%
7 YUNG Zoe - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
8 SAIFEE Sakina - - 2% 19% 51% 27%
9 LEE Zoe E. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
10 WANG Doreen - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
11 KIM Ines - - 1% 10% 34% 43% 12%
12 GOWDA Siyona - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
13 KHANAL Sarah - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
14 BANDZELADZE Emma - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
15 NICOLETTI Thea - - 2% 17% 38% 33% 10%
16 KENT Audrey - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
17 KENSICKI Phoebe - - - - 1% 17% 82%
18 CHUNG Katie - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
19 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina - - 3% 15% 39% 38% 5%
20 KIM Rylie - - 3% 17% 40% 35% 4%
20 PAWAR Sanvi - 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
22 POON Taylor 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
23 ARCE BASURCO Juliana 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
24 LAM Dorris Yandor - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
25 ZHOU athena - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1%
26 PEROJO Angie - 2% 19% 50% 25% 3%
27 TIAN Claire - 6% 31% 41% 19% 3%
28 ZHAN Catherine - 1% 6% 23% 41% 27% 2%
29 FAN Lauren - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
30 ZHANG Anthea Jia Jia 10% 37% 40% 12% 2% - -
31 KUK Sophie 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
32 ZEE Bella 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2% -
33 ALEKSANDROVA Mira 2% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
34 DEJOY Leilah - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 4%
35 LIU Celia 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
36 CAO Alexandra 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
37 YOU Mina 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
38 ZHANG Katie Q. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 19% 2%
39 TAGNE Zoey 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
40 GAO Nicole 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
41 YUEN Hannah 21% 45% 28% 6% - - -
42 LIN Tiffany 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
43 HSZIEH Evelyn 9% 36% 42% 12% 1% -
44 ROSIN Milena 56% 37% 7% - - -
45 BERMUDEZ Pryscilla - - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
46 CHEN Chloe 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
47 MARENITCH Kara 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
47 SUTTON Sadie 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
49 LI Claire 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
50 SHIN Ellie 40% 44% 14% 1% - -
51 SHU Kayla - 6% 32% 41% 18% 2%
52 YI Helen 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
53 KENZHEBULATOVA Sara 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
54 SOUSA Lauren 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
55 JOE Everly 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
56 YANG Claire 28% 45% 22% 5% - - -
57 GU Ava 2% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
58 ISBELL Nora 25% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -
59 FU Angela 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
60 BORG Annie 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
61 SUN Zoey 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
62 GAMACHE Camdyn Harper 20% 54% 22% 3% - -
63 YEN Kayleigh 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
64 STOCK Nina 28% 45% 23% 4% - - -
65 PICACHE Camilla 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
66 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 18% 47% 30% 4% - -
67 ISBELL Clara 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.