Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Women's Saber

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO ZEMEI 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
3 BAIK Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 SARATH Sana 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
5 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
6 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
7 KO Ariel 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 5%
8 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
9 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
10 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
11 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
12 YE Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
13 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 100% 95% 64% 23% 3%
14 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
15 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
17 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% < 1%
18 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
19 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
20 KU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
21 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
22 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
23 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
24 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
25 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
26 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
27 YANG Selina 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
28 JIANG Yutong 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
29 TOPALOV Julia 100% 99% 91% 58% 19% 2%
30 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
31 LAI Karen 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
32 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
33 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
34 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
35 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
36 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
37 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
38 KANIA Brigitte 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
39 DEMRY Kylee 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
40 KAYA Lara 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
41 BUSSELL Ava 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
42 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
43 WONG Cerise 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 26% 5%
44 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
45 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
46 SON Ellie 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
47 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
48 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 39% 7%
49 YOUNG Sienna 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
50 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 98% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
51 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
51 POWERS Waverly 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
53 MING Emma 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
54 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
55 SHI Chuqing 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
56 YANG Felicia 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
57 TIAN Ariana 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
58 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 5%
59 HUANG Neila 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
60 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 1%
61 LI Tira 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
62 OH Chloe 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
63 CHAN Isla 100% 74% 24% 4% - -
64 LIU Stephanie 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
65 GUO Daisy 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
66 DOROBANTU Emma 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
67 TABANCAY Ava 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 2% -
68 KIM Eunjae 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
69 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
70 WEI Levana 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
71 WANG MONA 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
72 HU Heidi 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
73 ZHANG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
74 PATEL Maia 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
75 REDA Sophie 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
76 GISCHLER Mila 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
77 BABB Virginia 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
78 BIESIADA Sophia 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
79 YIN Xizi 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
80 WANG Selina 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
81 HO Sophia 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
82 MISHRA Riona 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
83 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
84 ONO Lisa 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
85 VANNIER Anouk 100% 91% 51% 15% 2% -
86 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
87 KANG Ellie 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
88 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% 1%
88 FANG Darcy 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
90 FANG Elena 100% 96% 75% 37% 11% 2% -
91 TASSONE Charlie 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
92 KIM Lucy 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
93 JEON Kristen 100% 83% 30% 5% - - -
94 LIAO Amber 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
95 DATLA Aanya 100% 60% 15% 2% - -
96 LIU Teresa 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
97 SMITH Genevieve 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
97 LIU Alyssa 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
99 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
100 ARIF Haniya 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
101 MADDISON Erica 100% 40% 7% - - -
102 KIM Jodie 100% 93% 52% 14% 2% - -
103 WANG Emily 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
104 LAU Angela 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
105 DU Jessica 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
106 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
107 JONES Victory 100% 80% 36% 9% 1% - -
108 SAGER Bianca 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
109 MUNSHI Ridhima 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
110 LIAO Audrey 100% 70% 18% 2% - -
111 SHOWKIER Amal 100% 60% 15% 2% - - -
112 LEE Kaitlin 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
113 TILAKARATNE Inuli 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
114 PARKER Mrinali 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
114 CORDOVA Hailey 100% 28% 3% - - - -
116 HILTON Penelope 100% 39% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.