Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-8 Men's Épée

Monday, January 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI AIDEN 100% 99% 90% 53% 3%
2 DAI Alvin 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
3 CHOI Kevin 100% 91% 60% 21% 3%
3 ISLAM Ryan 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
5 DONG Eason 100% 94% 63% 21% 3%
6 LEE Meritt 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15%
7 LAM-DANBACK Zachary 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
8 SAI Isaiah 100% 97% 74% 32% 5%
9 SONDHI Reyan 100% 98% 81% 41% 9%
10 GANT Buhawi 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
11 LAI Jason 100% 99% 80% 39% 8%
12 KICIMAN Adrien 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
13 GIRALDO Gabriel 100% 69% 25% 4% -
14 HARVILICZ Leonardo 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
15 SADLER Samuel 100% 32% 4% - -
15 AGRAWAL Agustya 100% 100% 97% 75% 28%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.