Saratoga Open Youth Saber Tournament

Y-10 Mixed Saber

Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
2 PAN Vivienne 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 6%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
3 GOSAVI Amiya 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
5 XU Chenxi 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
6 VAN ROY Petra 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
7 SEVERT David 100% 99% 89% 51% 14% 1%
8 CHEN Brian 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
9 GOURJI Roman 100% 69% 23% 4% < 1% - -
10 SHIH Brandon 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
11 CAO Kaylin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
12 GIMELFARB Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
13 YUNG Jordan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
14 LAM Nathan 100% 99% 88% 48% 7% -
15 LAN Rory 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
16 QUAN Hailey 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
17 WU Jaren 100% 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
18 SHKALIKOV Denys 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
20 REICH Emily 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% 1%
21 YAO Jiayue 100% 81% 28% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.