Capital Czajkowski Cup #2

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Capital Fencing Academy - Rockville, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 99% 90% 50% 6%
2 JI Johnson 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 1%
3 FERRARA Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 54%
3 GUALTERO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 66%
5 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 24%
6 MOON Noah 100% 100% 93% 35% 5% -
7 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
8 RINALDI Savio 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14% 1%
9 ARIAS Cesar A 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
10 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 23%
11 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 99% 87% 43% 8%
12 PAUL Jimmy 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
13 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 100% 95% 59% 8% -
14 SZULIM Rad 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
15 FERRARO Pietro 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 22%
16 KEEFER Philip E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
17 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 100% 98% 83% 31% 2% -
18 PIPKE Garrett 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% - -
19 CHEN Tim 100% 99% 71% 13% 1% - -
20 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1% -
21 BARROSO Isabela 100% 98% 73% 30% 6% -
22 HEIMOV Brennan 100% 80% 20% 1% - -
23 SULLIVAN Anna 100% 100% 94% 62% 22% 3%
24 KIM Grace 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
25 FERRIS Oliver 100% 89% 11% - - -
26 REIFKE Clive 100% 97% 37% 3% - - -
27 DHAR Asif 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1% -
28 MORIYASU Yuna 100% 31% 4% - - - -
29 WANG Emily 100% 98% 66% 18% 1% -
29 VANNIER Anouk 100% 34% 5% - - -
31 JIN Adam 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
32 WANG Tony 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.