Salle Auriol Seattle RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
2 LIU Anya 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
3 WU Allison 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
3 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 99% 85% 46% 11%
5 NAKAZATO Olivia 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
6 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
7 KIM Olivia 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 2%
8 NAKAZATO Isabella 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
9 GORDILLO Eva 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
10 PENG Yuewei 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
11 URION Alicia 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
12 CHAI Aria 100% 100% 93% 67% 24% 3%
13 YOUN Davina 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
14 ZHENG Joanna 100% 88% 46% 12% 1%
15 MORENO Alexsis 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
16 HEWES Sierra 100% 80% 36% 7% - -
17 JIANG Katherine 100% 91% 56% 17% 2%
18 FITCH Abigail 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
19 MERRIMAN Evalyn 100% 90% 56% 17% 2% -
20 BORDEN Rosalie 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
21 PENG Yuerui 100% 52% 12% 1% -
22 KUO Liang-Jun 100% 52% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.