Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NY, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HU Simon | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 2 | CONSTANTINE Leonidas | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 3 | GUO Zi-Yang | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| 3 | WANG Russell | V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 5 | SHI Henry | V V D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 6 | VINCENT Yian | V D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 7 | GREEN Heston | V D V V V | V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 8 | BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo | V V V D D V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 9 | MERZLYAKOV Mikhail | V V D D V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 10 | LI Ethan | V V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 11 | MCCAFFREY Balthazar | D D V D V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 12 | HUI Nicholas | D D D V V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 13 | CHANTENGCO John Stephen | D V V D D | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 14 | POLITO Anthony | D D V V D | V D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 15 | BELLOWS Blake | D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 16 | KOROLEV Daniel | D D V D D | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 17 | LERMAN Elan | V V D D D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 18 | SAIFNOORIAN Rustin | D V D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 19 | BACH Ellis | D D D V V | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 20 | DUCHEK Everett | V D D D V D | D | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| 21 | ANHAVA Cato | V D D D D | D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 22 | LIU Victor | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 23 | PARHI Kairav | D D D V D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 24 | FIROOZI Jack | D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| 25 | FAOZAN Jakarta | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.