Manhattan Fencing Center Saber Youth & Veteran Liberty Cup (New DATE)

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 4:45 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 12%
2 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
3 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
3 CONNOLLY Edward Bud 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9% -
5 LINK Alexander 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
6 SAKATCH Nikita 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
7 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
8 ANDRADE Ian 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
9 VINCENT Yijia 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
10 TANJGA Luka 100% 95% 62% 23% 4% -
11 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
12 DARLING Andrew 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
13 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
14 LI Sebastian 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
15 LI Xinren 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
16 MUSA Roman 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 1%
17 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
18 SEITH Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
19 PRICE Samuel 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
20 OLSON Prescott 100% 38% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.