Eagle Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 3:30 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 99% 82% 33% < 1%
2 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
3 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 96% 75% 27% 3%
5 GU Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
6 GUO Jianing 100% 100% 93% 67% 24%
7 LI Audrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 36%
8 LUO Derren 100% 90% 56% 18% 2%
9 XIE Garrett 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 9%
10 GEMBALA Theodore 100% 85% 27% 2% -
11 CHEN Celina 100% 52% 13% 1% -
12 ALEKSANDROVA Miroslava 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
13 ROSIN Milena 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
14 HU Marissa 100% 93% 64% 24% 3% -
15 NILANGEKAR Nikita 100% 92% 56% 12% 1% -
16 LEE Clara 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
17 JIJO Jayln 100% 70% 26% 4% -
18 GUO Christine 100% 92% 60% 19% 2%
20 CHUNG Lucas 100% 93% 59% 16% 1%
21 HOVAGHIMIAN Atticus 100% 96% 71% 29% 4%
22 KIM Owen 100% 63% 20% 3% -
23 HOOKS Owen 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
24 GANGINENI Aarush 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
25 MISSON Arya 100% 87% 49% 14% 1% -
26 CHEN Runhe 100% 100% 91% 57% 14%
27 SAXENA Niven 100% 92% 55% 15% 1% -
28 RAI Ariv 100% 100% 95% 66% 21%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.