NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 BENTLEY Nick 100% 100% 95% 65% 20%
3 CHUA Kirby 100% 100% 96% 70% 24%
3 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 100% 100% 94% 56% 11%
5 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
6 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2%
7 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 94% 61% 17%
8 POPESCU Tudor 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 52%
9 KALISH James 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
10 BERETICH Brian 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 7%
11 TRINH Tan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
12 KERSHA Alexander 100% 97% 61% 12% 1% -
13 FORTES PINA Adrian 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
14 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
15 LAO Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
16 DI TELLA Ulises 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
17 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
18 REARDON Patrick M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
19 CROWDER Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 92% 52% 10%
20 CELESTE Ezra 100% 99% 75% 34% 8% 1%
21 HU Daniel 100% 91% 36% 6% -
22 COHEN Maxwell 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% -
23 BELL Guillaume 100% 82% 36% 8% 1% - -
24 EZPELETA Gaelan 100% 88% 48% 11% 1% -
25 JOHNSON Daniel 100% 23% 1% - - -
26 PANZANO Luca 100% 22% 1% - -
27 DAO Lucas 100% 93% 48% 8% - -
29 LYONS Maxwell 100% 15% 1% - - -
29 BURTON John 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
31 HASSETT Edward 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.