80's Neon Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Stoccata Fencing Academy - Altamonte Springs, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARRERO Quentin 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
2 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19%
3 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 KOSSMANN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
5 QUADRI Saira 100% 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% < 1%
6 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
7 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
8 SEEDS Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
9 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% -
10 INTERTHAL William 100% 100% 99% 83% 41% 7% -
11 DAVIS Kelly 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
12 VENZON Gavin 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
13 CHUBB Toby 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
14 BRIDGES Brayden 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
15 DE OLIVEIRA Bruno 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
16 KOSSMANN Raymond 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
17 JAMES Preston 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
18 DAVIS Shanna 100% 76% 18% 1% - - -
19 COLLINS Hannah 100% 93% 62% 18% 2% - -
20 PASCHEL Christie 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
21 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.