Salle Auriol Seattle RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIGERET Stella 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
2 LI Ella 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
3 WU Elynna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 WU Allison 100% 100% 94% 65% 14%
5 SCHEFFLER Aria 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
6 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
7 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 5%
8 NAKAZATO Olivia 100% 99% 90% 54% 12%
9 CHEN Elysia 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
10 ROSS Ellie 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
11 KIM Olivia 100% 94% 64% 18% 1%
12 CHOI Lydia 100% 98% 80% 37% 6%
13 KLESERT Elizabeth 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
14 MORENO Alexsis 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
16 CHAI Aria 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
17 YOUN Davina 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
18 JONES Rowan 100% 71% 24% 3% -
19 ARRIBE Mila 100% 83% 37% 7% -
20 ESPERUM Ari 100% 70% 22% 2% -
21 MERRIMAN Evalyn 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
22 PENG Yuewei 100% 54% 12% 1% -
23 LEE Addison 100% 47% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.