AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #3

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 LEE Rebecca 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
5 SCHMIDT Alexis 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
6 LI zoey 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
7 MUKKU Emily 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 1%
8 PARK Rachel 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12% 1%
9 WONG Kora 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
9 YANG Emma 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
11 HUANG Jui-An 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
12 ALI Maryum 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
13 LUO Xinyue 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
14 SMIRNOVA Evangelina 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
15 LI Elaine 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
16 HENDERSON Ella 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
17 JHA Aanvi 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
18 LI Celine 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
19 CHAIGNEAU-TAQUECHEL Isadora 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
20 TAN Elliana 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
21 REDDY Annika 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
22 HOODA Devanshi 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
23 ROGERS Zoey 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
24 MRABET Maya 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
25 AGLIPAY Bella Rose 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
26 ZEN Chloe 100% 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.