Event Results
IFC 2026 Winter ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | THOMAS Samuel | D V V V V V | V V V V | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 2 | FULLER II Thomas | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 3 | RESHEIDAT Shadi | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 3 | HAGGARD Dominic | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 5 | CARDENAS Nathan A. | V D V V V V | V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 6 | REED Dusty (Allen) | V V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | EDWARDS Tim | V D D V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 8 | MYERS Lewis | V D V V D D | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 9 | STAUBITZ Marc | V V D D V V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 10 | WILTSHIRE Kaden | D V D V V D | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 11 | BETTS Jr Anthony P. | V V D D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 12 | PAMERLEAU Ian | D D V V D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 13 | ZALPURI Zorin | D D D V V | V D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 14 | FRANK Luke | D V V D D D | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 15 | NURRENBERN Elijah | D V D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 16 | PETTIJOHN Luke | D D D D D | V D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 17 | SITU Sammy | V D V D D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 18 | HOYT Tyler | D D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 19 | DUTTON Kimberly | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 20 | NOSKO zachary | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |