Event Results
IFC 2026 Winter ClassicSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CARDENAS Nathan A. | V V D V | V V V | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 2 | EDENFIELD Liam | V D V V | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 3 | MEFFORD Mitchell | V V D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 3 | KAUFFMAN Davian | D V V V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 5 | MCKEON Nicholas | V V V D | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 6 | THOMAS Samuel | D V D V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 7 | SHI RYAN | D D V D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 8 | DRAKE Caleb | D V D D | V D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 9 | BECERRA Karen | D D V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 10 | HUI Joe | D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |