Event Results

Div II Mixed Foil

2026 RedStar Winter ClassicSurprise Map

Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 3:30 PM RedStar Fencing Club · Chicago, IL, USA
34 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 EDWARDS Connor V V V V V V V V V V V 3.3 6 +2.7
2 WHEELOCK Bryan V V V D V V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
3 GREEN Nate V V V V V D V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
3 HONG Derek V V V V V V V V D 2.2 5 +2.8
5 HOROWITZ Shuli V V V V V V V D 2.1 5 +2.9
6 SMITH Erick V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
7 RIVERA Leahy V V V V V V V V D 3.6 6 +2.4
8 HERRERA Xavier D V V V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
9 ZMUDA Aiden V V V D V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
10 LIN Joseph V V V V D V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
11 ZOLDAN Nolabelle D V D V V V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
12 YU Leo D D V V V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
13 SWOPE Farren D V V V D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
14 HOOGSTRA Lucy D V V V D D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
15 WILEY Conor V V D D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
16 DURHAM Porter D D V D D V D 3.1 1 -2.1
17 LOVAN Audrey D V V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
18 LI Andy V D V D V D D 3.1 3 -0.1
19 MILLER Douglas D D V D V V D 5.4 3 -2.4
20 MUMFORD Josh D V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
21 LEYLAND John V D D V D D 2.8 2 -0.8
22 KOZINSKI Allison D D D V D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
23 KONIG Oliver V D V D D D D 3.6 2 -1.6
24 METZ Evan D D D V V D D 2.6 2 -0.6
25 HAVRIUSHENKO Vladyslava V D D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
26 GONZALEZ Eddy D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
27 LEVY Gabrielle D D V D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
28 STAMPS Jasper D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
29 GU Jonathan V D D D D D D 0.6 1 +0.4
30 KASHUBA Nazar D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
31 PANKOTAI Alexander D D D D D D V D 1.4 0 -1.4
32 LIU Serena D D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
33 CAROL Charles Missing ID 0.0 0 -
33 CAROL Emmaline D D D D D D D 2.5 0 -2.5

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%