Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 1, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Secaucus, NJ - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
2 KIM Shaun M. - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
3 TURCK Caspar J. - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
3 ZENG Noah - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
5 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
6 WANG Robert - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
7 DOWNEY Baran - 9% 35% 39% 14% 2% -
8 ZHAO Lucas - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
9 ZHENG Edward L. - - - 5% 23% 46% 26%
10 HUANG Alexander C. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
11 BROU Inkosi - 6% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1%
12 BERA Enzo - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
12 WU Richard - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
14 LEE Aydan J. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
15 SHOMAN Noah - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
16 OH Triton - - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
17 WANG Nicolas - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
18 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
19 PENG Bryan - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
20 ZHANG Derek - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
21 HUANG Alex F. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
22 FELDMAN Drew 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
23 PRIMUS Nazir - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
24 BONETTI Brayden - - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
25 ANAND Sahil Z. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
26 DUCKETT Myles - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
27 REN James - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
28 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 2% 13% 37% 37% 12%
29 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
29 CHIU Vincent - 1% 7% 24% 40% 24% 5%
31 ZHANG Ethan W. - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
32 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
33 CHENG Cody - 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
34 GAUVEY Kieran - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
35 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
36 GRIGORESCU Alexander - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
37 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3%
38 HU Christopher - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
39 KOVALEV Daniil N. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
40 MICLAUS Justin - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
41 VAUGHN Jason - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
42 YU Thomas 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
43 HUANG Maxwell H. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
44 KIM Ethan 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 11% 2%
45 EYBELMAN Ariel 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
46 SHIPITSIN Alexander - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
47 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7%
48 ALLARDYCE Lachlan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
49 SUGIURA Samuel 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
49 WANG Oscar 4% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
51 LIN Philip T. 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
52 HOTHA Nikhil 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
53 LIN Steve - 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
54 SU Landon - - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12%
55 LIU Lawrence 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
56 ZHU Kevin 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 4% -
57 KESSLER Nathan 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
58 TVERSKOY Sam 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
59 SHINCHUK Daniel - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
60 GUREVICH Savely 6% 34% 40% 17% 3% - -
61 WANG Andrew - < 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
62 LEE Andrew 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
63 ANAND Brandon 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% -
64 KWALWASSER Eric 4% 23% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
65 IDRISSI Idris 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
66 PEREIRA Beckham - 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
67 PENG Victor 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
68 OH Aster 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
69 TSAO Oliver - 3% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
70 GONG Jerry 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
71 MARGULIS Jared 7% 56% 30% 6% 1% - -
72 ALLARDYCE Graham 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
73 KALOUDIS Sean 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
74 MERCHANT Milan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
75 MANGAN Daniel Marsh 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
76 YANG Kevin 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
76 YAO Kevin 49% 41% 9% 1% - - -
78 HE Bowen 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
79 HWANG Nathaniel 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
80 YAN William 1% 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
81 KLETTER Max 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
82 VOLVOVSKIY Tim 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
83 CHEN Jonathan - < 1% 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
84 LIU Alexander 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
85 WANG Max 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
85 SURESHKUMAR PRANAV 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
87 WONG Caleb W. 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
87 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
87 GUREVICH Benjamin 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
90 DA GRACA Tyler 3% 21% 36% 27% 11% 2% -
91 CHO Blake 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
92 LIGH Checed 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
93 KUSHNIR Zack 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
94 PRIEUR Christian F. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
95 LIU Ryan 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
96 VORONOVICH Aleksei 65% 30% 5% - - - -
96 HO Nathaniel 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
98 JUNG Ethan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
99 YUAN William 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
100 FTAIHA Ezra 83% 16% 1% - - - -
100 SINGER Marcus 19% 47% 26% 6% 1% - -
100 SUN Andrew 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
103 CUKIERMAN BENJAMIN 60% 33% 6% 1% - - -
104 CHO Joshua 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
105 HARMEYER Max 70% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.