The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-10 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 1, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Secaucus, NJ - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YOUNG Charlotte G. - 1% 8% 32% 45% 15%
2 WEI JoyAnn 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
3 BUSH Bethany 4% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
3 WU Yuwei - 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
5 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
6 MERCHANT Aishwarya - - 1% 10% 38% 52%
7 BUSH Divina 1% 12% 45% 34% 8% -
7 MYAT Chloe 1% 7% 25% 41% 24% 2%
9 LOO Kaitlyn - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11%
10 MATIER Alice 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
11 CHIARELLI Valentina - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
12 HU Anna - - 3% 22% 47% 28%
13 MIKULSKI Maggie - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
13 BERRIOS Catalina 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
15 LIU Yifei 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
16 FABRICANT Kioka R. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
17 BERMAN Greta - 3% 20% 43% 30% 4%
18 STONE Coral 10% 41% 36% 12% 2% -
19 CHAN Madeleine V. - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
20 SONG Isabelle 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
21 XIONG Alina 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
22 DAMBAL Sasha - 5% 27% 46% 21% 2%
23 PETERS Riley 2% 17% 39% 31% 9% 1%
24 GOROKHOVA marina 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
25 YAGNIK Aroma 1% 13% 35% 36% 14% 1%
26 HENDERSON Sunhi 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
27 DUGAN Stella 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
28 RAPARTHI Indira 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
29 MANSPERGER Gia 21% 51% 24% 4% - -
30 BORGUETA Madison 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
31 LIANG Claire 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
32 CHANG Norah 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
33 CROOKS Riley 50% 38% 10% 1% - -
34 LEE Tammy 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
35 SONG Emily 54% 39% 6% - - -
36 KESSLER Amelia 52% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.