UVA Cavalier Open 2026

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 1:00 PM

UVA Aquatics and Fitness Center - Charlottesville, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLSON Emerson 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
3 SKOLNICK Michael W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 CHANG Zane 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
5 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
6 CHANG Xavier 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
7 RAMESH prashvin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
8 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 3%
9 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
10 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1%
11 DAVIS Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
12 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
13 CLARK Robert 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31% 4%
14 SINGH Meet 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
15 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
16 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
17 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38%
18 AN Jasmine N. 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
19 TINGLE Byrd 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
20 LI Happy 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
21 CARLEY Aubrey 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
21 BLEVINS Carolyn 100% 97% 74% 29% 5% - -
23 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 78% 22% 2% - - -
24 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% -
25 LEE isabella 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
26 KAYMAK Karel 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2% -
27 SKEETE Neil 100% 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% -
28 BORAN Connor 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
29 JHA Ritika 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
30 CONANT Aidan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
31 ALTON Abigail 100% 99% 89% 48% 9% 1% -
32 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
33 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 91% 52% 8% - - -
34 BRUTON Vinton 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
35 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
36 SHIPMAN Steven 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
37 MAYER Abbey 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
38 CHROBAK Reed 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
39 COLEMAN William 100% 49% 9% 1% - - -
40 VELASQUEZ-FLORES Estevis 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
41 HANDLER Joshua 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
42 VIEZCA Olivia 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.