UVA Cavalier Open 2026

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM

UVA Aquatics and Fitness Center - Charlottesville, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RAMEY Daylon 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
2 BAYUS Oliver 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
3 MORAN Joseph 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 FONG Henry 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5% -
5 KIM Jooyoung 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
6 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
7 URIA Sullivan 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
8 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
9 MCCABE Kian 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
10 TANG Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
11 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
12 SINGH Meet 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
13 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
14 CASSIDY Leo 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
15 JHA Ritika 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
16 THORN Evan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
17 GALIOTE James 100% 99% 75% 35% 10% 1% -
18 THOMPSON Conner 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
19 CLARK Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
20 SIMS Martin L. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
21 CHAN Ian 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
22 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
23 GRAMLICH Bradley 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
24 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
25 LUNDEN Espen 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
26 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
27 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 99% 62% 18% 2% -
28 WU Jiachen 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
29 LAI Angel 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
30 THOMPSON Josh 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
31 HAVERSON Civa 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
32 CHENNAMSETTY Abhiram 100% 70% 30% 7% 1% - -
33 CRAMER Jay 100% 20% 2% - - - -
34 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.