UVA Cavalier Open 2026

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM

UVA Aquatics and Fitness Center - Charlottesville, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
2 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 WANG Ziyao 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2% -
3 WERNER Alexander 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
5 GOSNELL James 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
6 SPELL Kayla 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
7 DADIO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
8 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% - -
9 TANG Justin 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 1%
10 CLEMMONS William 100% 56% 16% 2% - - - -
11 SCHUPPIN Charles 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% - -
12 SHELLY Emery 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
13 DIEBLER Noah 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
14 SILK Ryan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
15 ENKHTUVSHIN Temuulen 100% 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.