Bay Cup at HALB: Y10WF2, Y12WF2

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, February 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Halberstadt Fencers' Club - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KO Alyssa 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
2 LEE Clara 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
3 SOUSA Lauren 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 1%
3 ALEKSANDROVA Miroslava 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
5 LEE Madison 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
6 CHANG Audrey 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
7 TANG Clementine 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
8 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
9 YEN Kayleigh 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
10 YANG Claire 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
11 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
12 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
12 PICACHE Camilla 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
14 MABRY Vivienne 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
15 HSU Courtney 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
16 SUN Zoey 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
17 LEE Juniper 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
18 SHUM KEIRA 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.