The Integrity RYC & Veteran Cup

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, January 27, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Maplewood, NJ - Maplewood, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHAN Matthew	-	1%	5%	17%	33%	32%	13%
2	ZHENG Edward L.	-	3%	21%	42%	28%	6%
3	HUANG Ethan F.	-	1%	6%	20%	35%	29%	9%
3	NOURELDIN Gabriel	-	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	19%
5	DENG Andrew	-	-	5%	23%	41%	25%	5%
6	ZENG Noah	9%	35%	41%	14%	2%	-
7	SHOMAN Noah	-	2%	16%	39%	34%	9%
8	BONETTI Brayden	-	-	4%	15%	32%	34%	14%
9	GILSON Lucas B.	-	1%	8%	28%	41%	22%
10	FIELDS Matthew S.	1%	10%	28%	33%	21%	6%	1%
11	HUANG Maxwell H.	1%	6%	21%	33%	27%	11%	2%
12	OH Triton	2%	15%	39%	33%	11%	1%	-
13	SHOMAN Zachary	-	1%	11%	35%	40%	12%
14	TURCK Caspar J.	2%	12%	34%	37%	14%	1%
15	ANTHONY Devyn V.	-	-	4%	21%	48%	27%
16	STURN Oliver	1%	10%	25%	33%	22%	8%	1%
17	BONIFIELD Arthur G.	1%	6%	19%	32%	28%	13%	2%
18	TASIKAS Stylianos	-	-	1%	10%	40%	48%
19	BOULAIS Andrew D.	4%	31%	42%	20%	4%	-
20	MAKLIN Edward P.	-	-	-	5%	22%	44%	29%
21	DUCKETT Myles	-	1%	6%	25%	43%	26%
22	LEMPERT Adam	1%	14%	34%	34%	14%	2%
23	OU Brian	4%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
24	MCCARTHY Gabriel	-	6%	26%	39%	23%	5%
25	SULLIVAN Aidan J.	10%	34%	37%	16%	3%	-
26	SMINK Oliver	23%	42%	27%	7%	1%	-
27	SAVOY Luca	26%	44%	24%	5%	-	-
28	WASSERMAN Aiden	44%	41%	13%	2%	-	-
29	PANDEY Neil	3%	19%	38%	30%	10%	1%	-
30	HUANG Alex F.	-	2%	9%	24%	35%	24%	6%
31	KONG Alan	-	< 1%	4%	22%	45%	29%
32	LIU Mingyang Ryan	31%	43%	21%	5%	1%	-	-
33	GRIMM Benjamin	2%	15%	36%	33%	12%	1%
34	CHICA - HERRERA Brian	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%	-
35	CHTERENTAL Alex	1%	7%	24%	35%	25%	8%	1%
36	FELDMAN Drew	2%	13%	29%	32%	18%	5%	-
37	CHEN Evan P.	-	2%	13%	36%	37%	12%
38	BROU Inkosi	-	5%	26%	46%	19%	2%
39	XU Eric	12%	43%	37%	7%	1%	-
40	SHINCHUK Daniel	12%	32%	33%	17%	5%	1%	-
41	ALI Rahman	6%	28%	39%	21%	5%	1%	-
42	KULKARNI Rohan	12%	39%	36%	12%	1%	-
43	YAO Kevin	62%	31%	6%	1%	-	-
44	CLARK Gabriel	3%	18%	35%	29%	12%	2%	-
45	HAPP Braeden	44%	41%	13%	2%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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