Texas Fencing Academy Cup 3

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Texas Fencing Academy - Austin, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	WOSTER Matthew (Mateo)	-	8%	35%	42%	13%
2	SON Kevin	-	1%	13%	41%	36%	9%
3	KEMP Austin	-	3%	19%	40%	31%	6%
3	KONDOGI Saivarun	-	8%	33%	43%	16%
5	PARK Geraldyn Sojung	-	-	1%	10%	40%	49%
6	JORDAN Bryce	-	2%	18%	45%	35%
7	KIM Euijin	-	1%	8%	31%	43%	17%
8	YUN Yeju	-	7%	38%	42%	13%
9	SHANKAR Rahm	-	-	-	5%	49%	46%
10	BAHARUDIN Jayden	-	-	-	8%	50%	42%
11	NGUYEN Khang	-	8%	30%	40%	19%	2%
12	SHARMA Romir	-	1%	11%	43%	45%
13	PHAN Manning	7%	45%	39%	9%	-
14	SHARMA Smyan	46%	41%	12%	1%	-	-
15	BRANDAO GRECO Gabriel	-	1%	10%	37%	41%	10%
16	ROSS Joe	9%	38%	39%	12%	2%	-
17	LEE William	-	2%	21%	42%	29%	6%
18	SEO Yunseo	2%	13%	33%	34%	15%	2%
19	KANG Jayden	-	6%	27%	44%	20%	2%
20	MURRAY Julie	2%	31%	50%	16%	1%	-
21	RIVARA Patrice A.	3%	24%	49%	21%	3%	-
22	MINNE Andrew	-	-	4%	21%	45%	30%
23	STARLING Herbert	66%	30%	4%	-	-	-
24	HERNANDEZ Alexander	8%	37%	40%	13%	2%	-
25	WICKERSHAM Brooklyn	-	2%	27%	65%	5%	-
26	CHA Jungyun	4%	48%	42%	6%	-	-
27	SRA Nawab	2%	20%	44%	29%	5%
28	FISHER Anderson	42%	41%	15%	2%	-
29	BEAVERS Cole	1%	20%	45%	30%	4%	-
30	RANGEL SANTANA Diego	69%	27%	4%	-	-
31	GAUGER Nick	53%	39%	8%	1%	-	-
32	WINSETT Benjamin	< 1%	10%	38%	36%	13%	2%
33	ORIA Isabel	23%	65%	11%	1%	-
34	CASTILLO Abigail	83%	16%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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