Apex Novice Cup - February

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 LUNG Po nam - - - 2% 10% 25% 36% 23% 4%
2 MILCZANOWSKI Adam - - - 2% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
3 WALTON Drake - - - 2% 9% 25% 37% 22% 4%
3 BRINSON Buck - 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1% -
5 GAYER Mace 8% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% - - -
6 SAHA Rohan - 4% 16% 29% 29% 16% 5% 1% -
7 WHITE Morgan - 5% 17% 29% 28% 15% 5% 1% -
8 BEAVERS Luke 14% 33% 32% 16% 5% 1% - - -
9 TYER-SEBRING Cole < 1% 3% 12% 27% 32% 19% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.