W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open 2026

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PRICE Owen - - 6% 27% 44% 23%
2 METZ Mason - - 2% 17% 46% 35%
3 SINGH Meet - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
3 CHANG Xavier - - 4% 53% 42% 2%
5 O'DONNELL Breck - - - 1% 15% 84%
6 CHOW Kingsley 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
7 DEVINNEY Dale - 5% 33% 41% 19% 3%
8 SAE-TUNG Kevin - 2% 17% 44% 34% 3%
9 SKOLNICK Michael W. - 1% 10% 39% 50%
10 BOUSTANY Marc - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
11 COPENHAVER Edward - 1% 9% 30% 40% 20%
12 CHANG Zane 2% 17% 39% 34% 7%
13 AZIZI Zahl - 1% 16% 40% 34% 9%
14 LARSON Winston 3% 20% 42% 28% 7% 1%
15 HAYES Nathan P. - - 9% 33% 41% 17%
16 CONRAD Matthew - 6% 24% 37% 26% 6%
17 ROUNTREE Andrew 5% 26% 42% 23% 4%
18 TRUDEAU Allison 20% 53% 26% 1% - -
19 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 11% 45% 34% 9% 1% -
20 KELLEY Cullan 24% 43% 26% 6% -
21 CRISPIN Haley 66% 29% 5% - - -
22 FERGUSON Sam C. 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
22 BAILEY Linwood 33% 54% 12% 1% - -
24 FLEITAS Owen 4% 30% 40% 21% 5% -
25 TERPENNING Sarah 7% 32% 43% 16% 1% -
26 BRUTON Vinton 20% 43% 29% 7% 1%
27 BUMP Catalina 41% 44% 14% 1% - -
28 MILLER Ethan 51% 44% 5% - - -
29 GLASS Sam 22% 45% 26% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.