Event Results

Div III Mixed Épée

W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open 2026Surprise Map

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA

28 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	BAYUS Oliver	V V V V V D	V V V V V	4.4	5	+0.6
2	FEAGIN Patrick	V V V D D V	V V V V D	3.3	4	+0.7
3	MILLER Luke	V V V D V V	V V V D	5.5	5	-0.5
3	KELLEY Nathan	V V V V V D	V V D	4.7	5	+0.3
5	CASSIDY Leo	V V D V V V	V D	3.9	5	+1.1
6	MCCLEAN III Walter F.	V D V V V V	V D	4.4	5	+0.6
7	HAYES Nathan P.	V V V D V V	V V D	4.0	5	+1.0
8	CHAN Ian	V V D V V D	V V D	2.5	4	+1.5
9	LEWIS Owen	V D V V V V	D	2.8	5	+2.2
10	JARRATT Isaac	V V D V D V	V D	3.3	4	+0.7
11	STRAFFORD Andrew	D D V V V V	V D	4.0	4	-
12	PERI Mourya	D V V V V D	V D	2.2	4	+1.8
13	MILLNER Brian	D V V V D D	V D	3.8	3	-0.8
14	SINGH Meet	D V D V D V	V D	4.6	3	-1.6
15	LAI Angel	V D D V V D	V D	0.8	3	+2.2
16	PANE Patrick	V D D D D D	V D	4.6	1	-3.6
17	KEIM Spencer	D V V D V V	D	3.8	4	+0.2
18	MUNDAY Arlie	D V V D D V	D	2.8	3	+0.2
19	RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace	D D D V V V	D	2.8	3	+0.2
20	SU Jingbo	D V D V D V	D	2.2	3	+0.8
21	JARRATT Jacob	D V V D D D	D	1.9	2	+0.1
22	KRECK Marie	V D D D D V	D	0.7	2	+1.3
23	IYER Matthias	D D D D D V	D	1.5	1	-0.5
24	DROLET Julia	D D D V D D	D	0.7	1	+0.3
25	RAGSDALE Lillian	D D D D D D	D	1.2	0	-1.2
26	SIMS Martin L.	D D D D D D	D	3.8	0	-3.8
27	STOCKHAM Will	D D D D D D	D	2.6	0	-2.6
28	MEYER Maeve	D D D D D D	D	1.3	0	-1.3

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!