RCFC Winter Open

Senior Women's Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RAND Vivian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
2 MOHAN Riya 100% 98% 82% 39% 3%
3 GUAN Isabella 100% 100% 97% 66% 17%
3 WANG Chantal 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
5 KNUDSEN Ayda Jane 100% 100% 93% 51% 10%
6 YOUN Kylie 100% 99% 89% 57% 15% 1%
7 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 17%
8 MIXON Ivory 100% 62% 18% 2% -
9 SRIVASTAVA Aria 100% 44% 5% < 1% -
10 MAENG Gloria 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
11 SCHMID Carola K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
12 REED Katya 100% 95% 67% 22% 1%
13 EXUM Monica M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
14 GLOVER Cynthia E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
15 SHAH Anya 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
16 REED Juliya 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
17 ORBAN Viktoria 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
18 LI Zhiyao 100% 74% 30% 5% - -
19 FARRER Cheryl 100% 82% 36% 6% -
20 MORRISON Monica 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
21 AMIRAULT Amy 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% -
22 CHAN Renee 100% 71% 14% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.