RCFC Winter Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
2 HARRIS Julien 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
3 SU Desmond 100% 100% 95% 66% 20% 2%
3 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
5 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
6 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
7 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 15%
8 LI Ella 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1% -
10 THOMAS Noah 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
11 ISLAM Asif 100% 100% 96% 71% 30% 4% -
12 SCHULTZ Sumi 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
13 LIU BAI HENG (Leo) 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 23%
14 SU Preston 100% 100% 89% 57% 20% 3%
15 HO Christopher 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
16 LIGERET Stella 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 4% -
17 WU Taylor 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% - -
18 LU Chang 100% 99% 87% 41% 7% -
19 HONG Elsie 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
20 CLEMENTE Aragorn 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
21 RIDEHALGH Xander 100% 56% 11% 1% - -
22 BHAT Aaptha 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
23 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
24 HAN Tony 100% 70% 17% 2% - -
25 WANG Albert 100% 67% 14% 1% - - -
26 HINKLE Paul 100% 35% 5% - - - -
27 XU Ketian Alastair 100% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.