TMFC Saber Cup #3: Broadway Battle at 104th (Manhattan)

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club - Manhattan, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FRANTZ Ken 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
2 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
3 MEROLLA Luca 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
3 LACK Rye 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
5 MEYERS Alec 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
6 LIU Victor 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
7 TAUR Marcus 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
8 LIOU Paxton 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
9 CHOI Hudson 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
10 ALI Zidane 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
11 LAO Sebastian 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
12 HAN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
13 KONG Louis 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
14 IYENGAR Rohan 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.