State Games of Michigan

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM

West Michigan Fencing Academy - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ROUX Noah 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
2 MESCHCARINCI Luca 2% 13% 35% 37% 14%
3 GUGINO Esmeralda - 11% 34% 37% 16% 2%
3 KAMPMUELLER Charles 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
5 WIDMANN Ceili 2% 23% 42% 26% 6% 1%
6 ROSS David 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
7 RUSTENHOLTZ Zachary - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12%
8 GRUBAUGH Avner 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
9 ASIALA Niilo 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
10 MCKEE Rachael - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
11 PAUPORE Brad 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
12 HATLEY Joshua - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
13 KRAMER Emery 29% 42% 23% 6% -
14 CRIPE Maureen 9% 40% 37% 12% 1% -
15 LOBELLE Daniel 1% 11% 36% 39% 13% 1%
16 CHANG Easton 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
17 HATLEY Lea 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.