State Games of Michigan

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 3:30 PM

West Michigan Fencing Academy - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BECKER Thomas - 1% 9% 40% 51%
2 BROOKS Zachary - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 PECKENS Tyler - 5% 24% 44% 27%
3 SAYLOR Henry 3% 21% 39% 29% 7% -
5 TOWNSEND George - 7% 31% 46% 15%
6 ASGARALLY Anthony 1% 15% 37% 36% 11%
7 BOLAKOWSKI John 1% 14% 39% 36% 10%
8 SAYLOR Nathaniel 55% 36% 8% 1% -
9 ULMAN Nathan - 6% 26% 43% 24% 1%
10 ASIALA Niilo 28% 46% 23% 3% -
11 HOLDORF LE GOFF Bianca 2% 18% 42% 32% 5% -
12 OXIE Matthew 18% 45% 31% 7% -
13 FLORIAN Alex 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
14 KAMPMUELLER Charles 7% 35% 40% 16% 2%
15 JACOBS Matthew 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
16 CHANG Easton 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.