Mission RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 11:15 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 XIAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 OH Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
5 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56%
7 TANG Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
8 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
9 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
10 SUN Nathan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 1%
11 KEEGAN Cole 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
12 MANCHALA Vedanth 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
13 HU Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 26%
14 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
15 LIU Jeremy 100% 99% 91% 60% 17% 2%
16 LINDEMANN Conrad 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
17 BRADY David 100% 99% 92% 63% 18% 1%
18 CHEN Kyler 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
19 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
20 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 9%
21 SHARMA Ari 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
22 YANG CHENLE 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
23 HU Weijie 100% 100% 99% 90% 50% 5%
24 SHEN Lucas 100% 100% 97% 76% 27% 1%
25 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
26 LIN John 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 4%
27 MCGREEVY Gavin 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
28 LAWRENCE James 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
29 REN Ryan 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
30 LU Hansen 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
31 JIANG Ethan 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
32 TANG Michael 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
33 LEE Kyle 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
34 BULIN Jack 100% 83% 43% 10% 1% -
35 XIA Vincent 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
36 CHEN Kevin 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
37 IM Andrew 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% -
38 LEE Aeden 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
39 DAVIDSON Henry 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% -
40 LIN Alden 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
41 PANG Owen 100% 80% 34% 6% - -
42 ROTH Adam 100% 95% 65% 21% 2% -
43 WU Max 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
44 DENG Jonathan 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
45 PELLERIN Liam 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
46 HE Ryan 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
47 LIU Max 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
49 AMR HOSSNY Adam 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
50 YE Kingsly 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
51 LACORAZZA Logan 100% 77% 30% 4% - -
52 GUTKOVSKIY Ryan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
53 ZHAO Ethan 100% 61% 15% 1% - -
54 TAN Winston 100% 81% 37% 7% - -
55 LEONG Michael 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
56 TARDIFF Owen 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
57 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 100% 94% 66% 23% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.