Mission RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 2:50 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
2 LUO Lucy 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
3 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
3 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 9%
5 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
6 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
7 GENG Emma 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
8 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
9 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
10 JU Victoria 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
11 PAEK Ellie 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
12 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
13 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
14 MILLER Anna 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
15 WANG Christina 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
16 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 96% 60%
17 DONG Audrey 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
18 VO Evelyn 100% 95% 43% 5%
19 JIN Emily 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
20 CHEN Sophie 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
21 LU Sophia 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
22 LEE Annabel 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
23 LIN Claire 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
24 KIRBY Emelie 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
25 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2% -
26 YANG CHENYI 100% 98% 68% 16%
28 WANG Manny 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
29 ZELDIN Nina 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
30 SUN YOUXI 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
31 SUI Jessie 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
32 CHUNG Sera 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
33 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
35 GONG Maggie 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
36 CHIANG Ellie 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
37 ZHENG Rachel 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
38 ZHU Alicia 100% 75% 30% 5% - - -
39 GUTKOVSKIY Chloe 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
40 SCIASCIA Logan 100% 19% 1% -
41 CLOUD Cailynn 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.