Nashville Challenge RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

MTSU Campus Recreation - Murfreesboro, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAYEZ Adam - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
2 LEE Rohan - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
3 CHU Joe - 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
3 LIU Spencer - 1% 11% 32% 40% 15%
5 KRENZER Aaron 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
6 CHA Declan - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
7 WANG Asher 1% 13% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
8 DOUGLAS James 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
9 WANG Samuel 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
10 RANSOM Aaron 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
11 HORNE IV John 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
12 FERNANDEZ Leo 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
13 LI Minghao 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.